MOGADISHU, Somalia — Somalia’s opposition leaders are weighing a cautious response to the federal government’s call for political dialogue after President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s administration announced plans to convene a national consultative conference next month, amid rising tensions over constitutional changes and election timelines.
The government said it would hold an inclusive political conference in Mogadishu on February 1, 2026, aimed at building consensus on elections and political reforms. The announcement came just one day before an opposition-imposed deadline for agreeing on an election roadmap.
Opposition leaders, including figures from the semi-autonomous regions of Puntland and Jubaland, are expected to meet in Nairobi to discuss their position. However, sources within the opposition told Arlaadi Media they are inclined to cautiously accept the government’s invitation, while seeking assurances on the scope of the talks, representation and implementation of any agreements reached.
The proposed dialogue follows reports that the government is preparing amendments to key sections of Somalia’s provisional constitution, a move that has triggered strong opposition criticism and raised fears of renewed political instability.
Some opposition leaders have warned they could establish a parallel administration in Garowe, the capital of Puntland state, if talks fail, underscoring the depth of the political standoff.
International partners have welcomed the government’s call for dialogue. The European Union said inclusive talks and a broad agreement on elections before mandates expire were essential for stability, urging opposition groups to engage constructively.
The United Kingdom also welcomed the planned conference, encouraging all stakeholders to reach consensus to support Somalia’s long-term stability and prosperity.
The political uncertainty comes as Somalia faces heightened regional and diplomatic sensitivities, including fallout linked to Israel’s recognition of Somaliland, adding to concerns among analysts that prolonged political deadlock could undermine fragile security and governance gains.
Analysts say the opposition’s response to the government’s initiative will be closely watched in the coming weeks, with engagement seen as critical to avoiding another protracted political crisis.
